Epoch AI estimates the effective stock of public human-generated text at around 300 trillion tokens, and expects models to fully use it between 2026 and 2032 if current trends continue. This is still the June 2024 estimate: Epoch's page shows no 2025 or 2026 update.
around 300 trillion tokens; between 2026 and 2032
Dated 6 Jun 2024Source checked 11 Oct 2026Quote found on its page again 16 Oct 2026Basis: stated
In the source's own words
“We estimate the effective stock of quality and repetition adjusted human-generated public text for AI training at around 300 trillion tokens. If trends continue, language models will fully utilize this stock between 2026 and 2032, or even earlier if intensely overtrained.”
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